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Fed Officials Meet, Small Rate Hike Seen
By Tim Ahmann WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve officials gathered on Tuesday for their final policy meeting of the year and were widely expected to nudge interest rates up to stay ahead of inflation amid a steady economic expansion. The central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee began meeting at about 9 a.m., a Fed official said. The panel is expected to announce its decision on rates at around 2:15 p.m. Economists are united in the view that the central bank will push benchmark overnight rates higher by a quarter of a percentage point to 2.25 percent, part of an effort to lift them to more normal levels after slicing them to 45-year lows. "It's not a robust expansion, but on the other hand it is an expansion and we are growing fast enough to see improvements in the job market," said David Berson, chief economist at
mortgage finance giant Fannie Mae (FNM.N:
quote , Profile , Research ) . The U.S. economy grew at a respectable 3.7 percent annual rate in the third quarter and job growth has averaged 178,000 over the last three months -- not spectacular but fast enough, analysts say, to whittle away at the 5.4 percent unemployment rate posted in November. Economists say that as the jobless rate moves lower, the Fed will become more watchful on the inflation front. CONTINUE 'MEASURED' CAMPAIGN But for now, most analysts think officials will be content to stick with what they have described as a "measured" campaign to move interest rates up. Since embarking on that campaign in June, the Fed has moved in quarter-point steps at each of its last four rate meetings. And economists say a rate hike at the Fed's final gathering of the year on Tuesday won't be the last. Futures markets are betting heavily that policymakers will bump the benchmark federal funds rate up another notch when they next meet in early February. But views are split on whether the Fed will pause to assess the impact of its actions at its subsequent meeting in March. The median forecast in a survey from the
bond Market Association released on Monday was for a fed funds rate of 2.5 percent by March, 3.0 percent by mid-year and 3.5 percent by the end of 2005. Continued ...
Source: reuters.com